It’s a sad truth that spring shows tend to dominate the conversation around Tony nomination time (though, to be fair, the three recent winners Hamilton, Dear Evan Hansen, The Band’s Visit all opened in the fall). Below, the BroadwayBox team goes category-by-category filling in what that one fall slot would have to be (IMHO).
Best Musical: Moulin Rouge
Best Play: Slave Play
Best Revival: Betrayal
Best Leading Actress in a Musical: Adrienne Warren, Tina: The Tina Turner Musical
Best Leading Actor in a Musical: Aaron Tveit, Moulin Rouge
Best Leading Actor in a Play: Andrew Burnap, The Inheritance*
Best Leading Actress in a Play: Mary-Louise Parker, The Sound Inside
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Sahr Ngaujah, Moulin Rouge
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Lauren Patten, Jagged Little Pill
Best Featured Actor in a Play: Ato Blankson-Wood, Slave Play
Best Featured Actress in a Play: Lois Smith, The Inheritance
Best Score: Rob Rokicki, The Lightning Thief
Best Book: Diablo Cody, Jagged Little Pill
Best Director of a Musical: Alex Timbers, Moulin Rouge
Best Director of a Play: Stephen Daldry, The Inheritance
Best Choreography: Sonya Tayeh, Moulin Rouge
Best Orchestrations: Katie Kresek, Charlie Rosen and Matt Stine, Moulin Rouge
* for categories we think they would be submitted for. Also, West Side Story doesn’t open until 2020 so was not in consideration.